February 18, 2026·Money

Spending and Budgeting February 2026

Pulse·article

Consumers Navigate Debt Anxieties, Shifting Experience Priorities, and Evolving College Funding Expectations

Credit Card Debt Concerns Intensify Amid Record Balances and High Interest Rates

The financial strain on American households has become impossible to ignore as credit card debt reaches record levels. Perscient's semantic signature tracking the density of language warning that credit cards trap consumers in debt rose by 1 point over the past month to an index value of 2. This uptick arrives as Americans carry a record $1.3 trillion in credit card balances according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York—the highest since tracking began in 1999.

The composition of this debt tells a troubling story. Thirty-three percent of credit card debtors now cite day-to-day expenses such as groceries, childcare, and utilities as the primary cause of their balances, up from 28% in 2024 and 26% in 2023. Social media commentary has captured this reality starkly, with posts noting that Americans now carry record balances "not for vacations" but "for groceries, gas, utilities".

Sixty-one percent of Americans with card balances have been in debt for at least a year, up from 53% in late 2024. When combined with interest rates averaging above 21%, the mathematics become punishing. As NerdWallet's household debt study found, Americans making only minimum required payments on the average credit card debt would accrue nearly $18,500 in interest charges before paying off the balance.

Yet the media environment presents a more complex picture. Perscient's semantic signature tracking language advocating that strategic household debt use is normal and useful also rose by 0.2 points to an index value of 3, remaining stronger than average. Warnings about credit card dangers are growing louder, but so too are voices normalizing debt as a practical tool. This bifurcation may reflect the K-shaped consumer economy, where different income brackets experience debt very differently.

The Federal Reserve cut rates multiple times throughout 2025, yet cardholders have seen minimal relief. Bankrate's forecast captured the frustration, with analyst Ted Rossman noting that "whether we're talking 21%, 20% or 19%, these are all high rates." Meanwhile, among households earning $100,000 to $150,000, the share living paycheck-to-paycheck by necessity doubled in 2025, reaching 24% by year-end.

President Trump recently pushed for a 10% credit card interest rate cap, posting on Truth Social that "we will no longer let the American Public be 'ripped off' by Credit Card Companies." Banks have responded forcefully, with JPMorgan Chase's CFO warning that such a policy "would be very bad for consumers, very bad for the economy." Users note that banks posting record profits while consumers drown in debt represents a fundamental tension in the financial system.

A recent Bankrate survey found that Americans who ended last year with less in emergency savings were much more likely to have increased their credit card debt—39% of those whose emergency funds shrank reported higher card balances. Credit cards have become the de facto emergency fund for many households, creating a cycle where financial vulnerability feeds further debt accumulation.

Experience Economy Narratives Recalibrate as Consumers Reassess Discretionary Spending

The strain on household budgets is reshaping how consumers think about discretionary purchases. Perscient's semantic signature tracking language arguing that experiences provide more value than material goods declined by 1 point over the past month to an index value of 1.

Simultaneously, the semantic signature tracking language arguing that buying quality items to pass down beats temporary experiences rose by 0.4 points to an index value of 2. This parallel movement suggests that consumers are not simply pulling back from all discretionary spending but rather reassessing what constitutes worthwhile purchases.

According to AlixPartners' 2026 Global Consumer Outlook, Americans will scale back across eating and drinking out, discretionary retail, travel, and fitness categories, with saving any extra money rising as a priority by 4 percentage points from 2025. UK consumers report some of the highest levels of "experience fatigue," willing to cut back on restaurants or retail if offerings feel overpriced or underwhelming.

Over half of U.S. adults are starting the new year with plans to reduce costs, with 67% specifically targeting dining out for cuts. The article notes that "small, frequent treats like $7 lattes or the $25 spent through apps like Instagram began adding up. In 2026, people are realizing that discretionary spending interferes with building savings."

Yet the experience economy has not collapsed; it has stratified. Merrill Lynch's consumer outlook notes that while a gap exists between higher-income and lower-income household spending, "paying for experiences, such as cruises, concerts and sporting events, is high on both groups' shopping wish lists." High earners remain particularly engaged: 44% of those in households earning $100,000 or more say they spent more on experiences, compared with 37% who spent more on non-essential purchases.

The rise of recommerce represents one tangible manifestation of this shift toward durability and value. Forbes reports that resale has transformed from scattered thrift hunting into a sophisticated retail channel, with brands viewing it as "an acquisition tool, a loyalty tool, a pricing intelligence tool and a way to stake out a credible position on sustainability." Gen-Z and millennial shoppers are driving this trend, choosing the best deal rather than the same brands every time.

Behavioral researchers describe this as a transition from aspirational consumption to value-aligned consumption, where longevity, practicality, and emotional return outweigh novelty. One popular post noted that people will "blow $200 on doordash in a week, but scoff at spending $200 on something you use every day" like quality towels or plates.

The wealth divide in discretionary spending has become more pronounced. HBK Wealth's analysis notes that spending from the top 10% of earners now accounts for almost half of all consumer spending, even as overall consumer sentiment continues to deteriorate, particularly among younger and lower-income consumers. One social media observer captured the situation: entire industries will cater to the top 1-2% "out of necessity" because that is where the spending power concentrates.

Simon-Kucher describes "the rise of discount formats catering to value-conscious shoppers combined with ongoing premiumization." Beyond basic needs, consumers continue to seek emotional satisfaction through aspirational purchases—but increasingly, that satisfaction comes from finding value rather than displaying status.

College Funding Expectations Shift as Parents Reduce Financial Commitments

The same financial pressures reshaping discretionary spending are weakening the traditional expectation that parents will fully fund their children's college education. Perscient's semantic signature tracking language claiming that parents should fully fund children's college declined by 0.2 points over the past month to an index value of -1.

The counterpart semantic signature tracking language arguing that students should contribute to education costs remained flat at an index value of -2, also weaker than average. While parental funding narratives are declining, arguments for student contribution are not correspondingly rising. The overall discourse around college funding appears muted, perhaps reflecting broader household financial strain.

The underlying economics explain much of this shift. According to data from the Education Data Initiative, between 2010 and 2020, college tuition inflation averaged 4.6% annually. Since 1963, college tuition has increased by nearly 750% after adjusting for inflation.

Despite the declining narrative emphasis, 85% of parents still pay at least a portion of their child's tuition. However, parents have begun to leverage savings, retirement accounts, and home equity to cover costs—a particularly risky approach for lower-income families who may not repay these amounts before retirement age. Nearly 60% of families created a plan to pay for their child's college education in 2025, with many relying on borrowing.

The alternatives to traditional four-year degrees are gaining cultural traction. A survey of over 2,200 parents of middle and high school students found that 35% said that career and technical education may be a better fit for their children—up from just 13% in 2019. While college remains the most preferred option, support has fallen to 58%, down by 16 percentage points over five years.

Community colleges have emerged as a practical compromise. EAB research shows that community college tuition has seen the smallest increases heading into 2026, averaging 2.7% compared to up to 4% at four-year institutions. Average published tuition and fees at U.S. public community colleges in 2024-25 remained near about $4,000 a year—substantially lower than in-state public four-year costs.

UNCF's analysis of 2026 Pell Grant changes warns that "as federal grants shrink, families may need to cover a larger share of tuition, fees, housing, books, transportation and other expenses." Students and families should expect tighter eligibility requirements and greater personal cost responsibility.

Social media discourse reflects deep frustration. Posts highlighting that young people with multiple jobs and roommates carry $100,000 in student loan debt while watching previous generations retire comfortably resonate widely. Others note the structural problem: you cannot get a $500,000 mortgage making $50,000 per year, "but you can get $200K in student loans for a college degree that's expected to make $50K/year."

Two-thirds of Americans now say that a four-year degree is not worth the cost because graduates leave without a specific job and with large amounts of debt. Among those who have stopped out of college, 23% said that they will not re-enroll because they cannot afford upfront costs, while 15% said that they are already too burdened by student debt to return. The weakening of both parental funding narratives and student contribution narratives may reflect a broader questioning of the entire higher education value proposition rather than simply a reallocation of who should pay.


Pulse is your AI analyst built on Perscient technology, summarizing the major changes and evolving narratives across our Storyboard signatures, and synthesizing that analysis with illustrative news articles and high-impact social media posts.

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